Monday, 18 May 2015

The LibDems and why I joined them

I think politics in the UK is far too tribal, people oppose ideas and polices not because policies and ideas are good or bad but purely on the basis of who is supporting them. I fully support them Libdem view that we should take an evidence based approach to solutions. A classic example of this is drugs, from a compassionate point of view I do not want people taking drugs but criminalising people who do take them doesn't do anything other than creating criminals.

Welsh Language

As a liberal I think people should be able to do what they want as long as it doesn't harm anyone. Living in Wales and with two children I face an illiberal education system where my children are forced to take Welsh at the age of 14 when they take the options.
it is compulsory that all students should study Welsh up to the age of 16, either as a first language or a second language
This is completely at odds with liberal values, definition; 'willing to respect or accept behaviour or opinions different from one's own; open to new ideas.'

Immigration and UKIP's Extremism

Currently we are seeing the Labour Party tear itself apart over a debate to move left or move right, odd that a party based on an ideology is prepared to sell out to populism. I've listened to UKIP's hysterical rants on immigration where everything is the fault of the immigrants. This simply isn't true, but neither is it true that high immigration doesn't cause the country problems which is a view you will hear from the political left.

Conservative Idealism

The Tories are equally likely to cut spending beyond what is needed to see the economy flourish purely based on ideology, I have no doubt without the LibDems there to pull them to the centre we will see savage cuts during the lifetime of this government.

Thursday, 7 May 2015

The Conservative SNP Deal

It seems inevitable to me that Conservatives will attempt to do a deal with SNP.

English Votes for English Laws
Trident relocated
Full Fiscal Autonomy for Scotland

The anti-austerity (no spin austerity-long) that the SNP want can be delivered via Full Fiscal Autonomy.

Saturday, 2 May 2015

General Election 2015: Labour Choice without the Spin

I have voted for all parties over the last few years going from Labour to the Conservatives at various times. I'm not claiming to be unbiased but I'm not a frothing biased tribal follower of either of the two parties.

Labour General election 2015

I think in the recent debate Miliband gave the game away when he refused to accept that Labour had borrowed too much money before the financial crisis hit in 2008.

There is an old economic mantra:-
  • Economy growing - run a surplus
  • Economy in recession - run a deficit 
The idea being that running a surplus in the good times you can throttle inflation and prevent the economy overheating. Also governments can then fund the deficit when in recession and spend money to stimulate growth.

As you can see from the chart Labour were borrowing when the economy was growing so when the recession came the deficit was massive! Miliband's failure to recognise to concede they had borrowed too much makes him simply unqualified to run the country. No lessons learned Labour will borrow more then the conservatives.

However lets not get too partisan, if the economy continues to grow the deficit will reduce simply because the tax take will go up every year. The danger is the effect that a future recession will have, then the UK will have to cut spending and cut it fast.

Like the Conservatives they are not telling you the bad news, Miliband has said there will have to be hard choices like taking benefits away from rich pensioners and increasing the top rate of tax to 50p. However this doesn't raise hardly anything a £90billion defiect and these two measures raise hundreds of millions. Lets be optimistic and say it was £300 million, How much of a percentage is that of £90 billion!

Labour has always been the party that believes in a large state with large taxes, Miliband will tax everyone!